BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Mount Ayr

Class: 2A Class Rank: 124 Conference: (4-13) Overall: (7-15) Overall Strength =   33.68

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/30/2004 Home    W    58.42  76   33   1A  140 ( 8-13) Mormon Trail           24.08     18.92                      
  2 12/02/2004 Away    W    46.84  62   47   1A  124 (12-10) Murray                 12.50      2.50                      
  3 12/04/2004 Away    L    35.36  61   74   3A   62 (10-12) Osceola Clarke          1.02    -14.02                      
  4 12/07/2004 Home    W *  46.80  77   47   1A  132 ( 3-18) Afton East Union       12.46     17.54                      
  5 12/10/2004 Away    L *  32.75  51   55   2A  120 (10-12) Bedford                -1.60     -2.40                      
  6 12/14/2004 Home    L *  49.29  55   78   2A   16 (27- 1) Nodaway Valley         14.94 *  -37.94                      
  7 12/17/2004 Home    L *  33.96  62   65   2A  115 (10- 9) Truro Interstate-35    -0.38     -2.62                      
  8 12/21/2004 Away    L *  28.93  49   66   2A  106 (12-10) Corning                -5.41    -11.59                      
  9 01/07/2005 Away    L *  21.26  59   72   1A  120 ( 9-14) Lenox                 -13.08      0.08                      
 10 01/18/2005 Away    W *  25.14  59   54   1A  132 ( 3-18) Afton East Union       -9.20     14.20                      
 11 01/21/2005 Away    L *  38.15  47   52   2A  109 (10-11) Corydon Wayne           3.81     -8.81                      
 12 01/24/2005 Away    W    38.67  61   45   1A  135 ( 7-17) Clarinda Academy        4.32     11.68                      
 13 01/25/2005 Home    W *  36.40  60   57   2A  120 (10-12) Bedford                 2.06      0.94                      
 14 01/28/2005 Home    L *  28.91  41   49   1A  106 ( 9-12) Southeast Warren       -5.44     -2.56                      
 15 01/31/2005 Home    L *  14.14  58   76   2A  121 (10-13) Leon Central Decatur  -20.20      2.20  was 01/13/05 now 01/31/05
 16 02/01/2005 Away    L *  26.63  30   79   2A   16 (27- 1) Nodaway Valley         -7.71 *  -41.29                      
 17 02/04/2005 Away    L *  34.81  50   54   2A  114 ( 9-13) Pleasantville           0.47     -4.47                      
 18 02/08/2005 Home    L *  19.92  61   72   1A  120 ( 9-14) Lenox                 -14.43      3.43                      
 19 02/11/2005 Away    L *  30.82  40   55   1A   91 (15- 8) Martensdale M-SM       -3.52    -11.48                      
 20 02/14/2005 Home    W *  46.59  63   59   2A  106 (12-10) Corning                12.25     -8.25  was 01/11/05 now 02/14/05
 21 02/18/2005 Home    L    22.12  52   57   1A  125 (13- 9) Lamoni                -12.22      7.22                      
 22 02/21/2005 Away    L *  39.63  42   78   2A   16 (27- 1) Nodaway Valley          5.29 *  -41.29                      
      Averages              34.34  55.3 60.2

Best game:   58.42 = 43 point win over Garden Grove Mormon Trail
Worst game:  14.14 = 18 point loss to Leon Central Decatur
Team stdev:  10.88